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News Gun control activists demanded better data. What they got surprised the heck out of them

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NorCalBusa

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Well how about that! We've all been saying for decades the numbers were not an accurate reflection. So this guy proved it.

Gun control activists demanded better data. What they got surprised the heck out of them​

The 2026 National Firearms Survey also found the previous survey underestimated defensive gun use​


Key findings;
A Georgetown professor just taught gun control activists an important lesson: When you criticize studies that don’t support anti-gun talking points, be careful what you wish for — you just might get it. In this case, they got an unprecedented amount of new data that obliterates their narrative.

In 2021, professor William English published the findings of his National Firearms Survey, by far the most comprehensive assessment of gun ownership ever conducted. The data demonstrated that defensive gun uses were commonplace, that ordinary Americans really like the weapons gun control activists hate most and that longstanding stereotypes about the "sort" of Americans who exercise their Second Amendment rights were misplaced.

Gun control activists predictably hated this. They attacked the report’s conclusions and author, blasting the survey over nitpicky concerns. English explained how the alleged problems wouldn’t have significantly impacted the results. Critics categorically dismissed the report anyway.

So, English humored them. He re-administered the survey, "fixing" its alleged "mistakes." If gun control activists hated the 2021 conclusions, they will likely lose their minds over the new ones, which English just released online. The improved and redesigned 2026 survey fails to vindicate their criticisms and deals even mightier blows to anti-gun narratives.

Here are four of the most significant findings from the new report:
1. Possession of ‘assault weapons’ even more common
Anti-gun activists love to target so-called "assault weapons" and "high-capacity magazines" (magazines holding more than 10 rounds). They frame them as "weapons of war" with "no civilian purpose," claiming they’re not "in common use" for lawful purposes and therefore unprotected by the Second Amendment.

The 2021 survey tore this argument to shreds, estimating that tens of millions of ordinary Americans own these rifles and magazines for lawful purposes like self-defense, hunting and sport shooting. Critics complained that the questions asked whether respondents had ever owned a magazine holding more than 10 rounds, or an AR-15 or "similarly styled rifle." They argued this language inflated numbers by including former (but not current) owners and semiautomatic rifles that aren’t technically "assault weapons."

The 2026 survey accordingly asked whether respondents currently own an AR-15 or a "similarly styled semiautomatic rifle with a pistol grip" — a feature universally cited in "assault weapon" definitions.

The new data vindicates English. Despite five years of efforts to "get weapons of war off our streets," an estimated 26.4 million American adults now own an AR-15 or its equivalent, up from the 24.6 million Americans estimated by the 2021 survey to have ever owned one.

The same trajectory holds for magazines. In 2021, 48% of gun owners — roughly 39 million Americans — were estimated to have ever owned one capable of holding more than 10 rounds. Five years later, an estimated 44.5 million currently own one, and gun owners are now even slightly more likely to own one (50.5%) than to not own one.

2. 2021 survey likely underestimated defensive gun use​

English’s original survey estimated that American adults use firearms to defend themselves, their property or others 1.67 million times annually, excluding military, police and security work.

The new data vindicates English. Despite five years of efforts to "get weapons of war off our streets," an estimated 26.4 million American adults now own an AR-15 or its equivalent, up from the 24.6 million Americans estimated by the 2021 survey to have ever owned one.
Critics called that estimate "implausible," arguing that the broad definition — which included incidents where a gun was mentioned but not displayed — and allegedly "leading" questions meant many reported uses may have been "imagined."

DOJ TARGETS SPANBERGER, NEWSOM GUN LAWS WITH TWIN LAWSUITS AFTER SCOTUS AFFIRMS SECOND AMENDMENT RIGHTS

Ironically, critics were right that the numbers were off, but wrong about the direction: the 2021 survey may have actually undercounted defensive gun uses.

The new dataset yielded an annual average of 2.2 million defensive gun uses. Part of the increase likely came from asking about protection against animal attacks, which accounted for over 8% of reported uses.

3. More Americans are legally exercising their right to bear arms​

Gun control advocates are losing the public-carry culture war. Seventy percent of gun owners now report at least "some circumstances in which they carry a handgun for self-defense," up from 56% in the original survey.

That doesn’t necessarily reflect public carry, since some may carry only on private property. Still, the new report estimates that 33.6 million Americans are "public carriers" — that is, they have a concealed carry permit and carry for self-defense "at least sometimes." That’s a remarkable 60% increase in five years.

What could possibly explain this?

The original survey ran from Feb. 17 to March 23, 2021. Much has changed in the public-carry landscape over the last five years.

Since July 1, 2021, 12 states with over 117 million people have enacted permitless carry laws, making it easier for law-abiding gun owners to arm themselves in public. Montana’s law took effect during the original survey. The Supreme Court’s 2022 decision in "New York State Rifle & Pistol Association" also opened the door for tens of millions of Americans to finally engage in some manner of public carry, even if the 10 states whose public carry laws were implicated still make it incredibly difficult, expensive and time-consuming to get a concealed carry permit.

This increased access to public carry, combined with historically unprecedented violent crime spikes, seems to have facilitated something of a nationwide "come to Jesus" moment about the importance of armed self-defense in public spaces. And it’s fundamentally changing societal perceptions regarding the right to bear arms and not in the direction that gun control activists favor.

4. American gun owners are an increasingly diverse group​

Finally, the 2026 survey indicates that more Americans from all walks of life are recognizing the importance of their Second Amendment rights. An even greater proportion of gun owners now hail from demographic groups that historically owned guns at much lower rates. It’s a consequential cultural shift that undermines some of anti-gun activists’ favorite tropes about gun owners.
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I’m looking forward to what some of the gun grabbers here have to say about this. Regardless, this sort of data comes at a good time. The Supreme Court court will be visiting the “in common use” issue in the very near future. This can only help!
 
Doesn't matter to the Brady Bunch. Guns are evil. One miss use is reason enough to ban them.

I actually don't think they care about what they call gun violence. They care about money and relevance. Should there be no perceived gun problem in American then they would cease to exist. It's the same thing with homeless NGOs and climate control activists. They need problems to exist (or convince people they exist) otherwise they would have no funding and cease to exist.
 
I am curious about this. Two millions defensive gun uses. Frankly that does sound a lot. Can admins post a poll here? We have what 50k users? That is statistically significant number. If number is correct we have few hundred people on this forum who used gun defensively .

I don't want to do it without admins permission because of possible privacy issues
 
I am curious about this. Two millions defensive gun uses. Frankly that does sound a lot. Can admins post a poll here? We have what 50k users? That is statistically significant number. If number is correct we have few hundred people on this forum who used gun defensively .

I don't want to do it without admins permission because of possible privacy issues

Not exactly, because that assumes that people doing DGU use forums like these at the same rate.
 
Not exactly, because that assumes that people doing DGU use forums like these at the same rate.
Obviously, a gun-forum poll wouldn't be a scientifically representative sample, but if English's estimate is anywhere close to correct, I would expect a substantial number of people here to have personally used a firearm defensively at some point.
 
Going to have to clearly define "Used a firearm", perhaps at a few levels going from:
1. Showed it on my hip
2. Drew it from the holster
3. Aimed and gave commands
4. Fired warning shot (ugh- sic)
5. Shot and missed
6. Shot the attacker
 
We have what 50k users? That is statistically significant number.
If that number is accurate, I suspect it’s more like 50K people have registered an account at some point since the site was created — most likely to check out the classified section. It would be interesting to see how many of those 50K are still here, and how many are actually active in these subforums outside of the classified area. I have a feeling we’d be lucky to get 100 people to respond to any kind of poll.
 
Obviously, a gun-forum poll wouldn't be a scientifically representative sample, but if English's estimate is anywhere close to correct, I would expect a substantial number of people here to have personally used a firearm defensively at some point.
I got charged at by two very angry 💩bulls that jumped their backyard fence while I was walking on a trail next to my neighborhood, drew while backing away and the owner came running screaming at the dogs. Didn't fire because they backed down immediately after the owner yelled at them.

He apologized profusely, neither of us called the cops and nothing was ever reported 🤷‍♂️
 
Going to have to clearly define "Used a firearm", perhaps at a few levels going from:
1. Showed it on my hip
2. Drew it from the holster
3. Aimed and gave commands
4. Fired warning shot (ugh- sic)
5. Shot and missed
6. Shot the attacker
7. Was in situation where some use of the gun was warranted but did not have weapon on me.

I was in West Hollywood during hGeorge Floyd riots. Was in situation when pulling gun out of holster was definitely warranted.
 
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