Maybe. I think a lot of new gun owners are pushed towards using a dot on their first gun. Couple that with the fact that so many new pistols come optic ready, and tons of people want “the best” right out of the gate, there are clearly more people nowadays who will start and stay with dots than in the
Most people are buying their first pistols at local FFL’s and big box stores. They look at what’s on display/in-stock, asking the clerk’s what the best options are. They’re coming onto the range with their brand new pistol still with the factory grease. By the time they get there, many have forgotten how to lock the slide back.
Those stores don’t often carry pistols with dot packages and
most store employees aren’t telling them to buy a red dot along with it. They don’t want to wait another week(s) to get it mounted anyway.
Even if it comes with a dot attached, they still wouldn’t know to pull the screws, Loctite and torque them, then going to the range to at least confirm zero (or how to do so).
When they do get a dot - often, earlier than they should’ve - they’re still just throwing rounds down range and wondering why they’re shooting low-left. All of a sudden those groups are opening up past 10yds and then “I think the dot is off, can you check for me?”
I’ll see them a month(s) later, shooting the same, still no plan for improvement. Not training presentation, 1-reload-1…or anything, still don’t know how to prep the trigger or even grip the gun properly.
While a dot is easier shoot - especially if you just leave it at aim and dump rounds - it’s certainly a more complex system with an additional level of understanding and maintenance.
If you’re just shooting a pistol for your first time or have minimal experience, there’s a an added level of complexity that’s just unnecessary and could even slow progress.
Unless a new shooter has someone to guide or support them they should hold off on the dot. They should spend that time on learning how to clean and maintain their firearm, developing fundamentals with consistent presentation, and at least how to diagnose some if the basic issues, common with new shooters.
Also, a lot of them are “upgrading” parts too soon and don’t know how to diagnose malfunctions.
If you’re just a hobby shooter then go ahead and waste ammo. But if folks are planning to use it for defense especially, they should build those fundamentals before adding complexity of a dot system.